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Still Report #1197 Donald Trump Has a Wide Open Path to Victory over Hillary -Electoral College!
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SR 1197 – Donald Trump Has a Wide Open Path to Victory over Crooked Hillary Now!
08:37 – Sept. 17, 2016
Good evening, I’m still reporting on Trump.
For the first time, I can see the math behind a Trump win in the Electoral College.
I’ve been watching a British betting site – PaddyPower.com. As Trump’s odds improved, I realized that this bookie site was also giving odds on whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would win November’s election on a state-by-state basis.
The results are quite interesting compared to the opinion poll averages in the U.S.
The bottom line is that this race is a lot closer than the U.S. pollsters are trying to make us believe it is.
Here is the Real Clear Politics average of all U.S. polls as of today. The red states are solid Republican.
The pink states are Republican leaning states with leads of between 5 and 10 points.
The dark blue states are solid Democrat states.
The light blue are states leaning Democrat with leads of between 5 and 10 points.
The dark gray states are considered tossups.
My opinion is that Real Clear Politics tends to skew its results towards the Democrats.
In any case, as of today, Real Clear Politics gives Clinton 200 electoral votes and Trump 164 with 174 a tossup. Only a few weeks ago, Trump was behind by over 100 electoral votes on this map.
But here is the map according to PaddyPower – the British bookie site. Trump only is behind by a thin margin of 20 electoral votes. Here’s the difference.
They gave the rest of the deep south to Trump – that is Florida, Georgia and North Carolina. They gave Virginia and Pennsylvania to Clinton and New Hampshire to Clinton. They gave Ohio and Iowa to Trump, but the northern Midwest – Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan to Clinton.
Heading west, they gave Colorado and Nevada to Clinton but Arizona to Trump and that gave them 279 for Clinton and 259 for Trump. Keep in mind, it takes 270 votes to win. So, a swing of only 11 electoral votes swings this election.
And if you take into account the latest trending in the polls from the last few days you can easily see more than an 11-vote swing. So here is the Still Report map.
The 4 states that moved significantly in the last few days were Colorado, where now Trump leads. Colorado alone has 9 electoral votes. The second state was Nevada, where, again Trump just took the lead. That’s 15 electoral college votes, and enough for Trump to win it. I don’t see either of these trends reversing in Clinton’s direction again. She’s done.
Besides that, in New Hampshire, Trump has been continually catching Clinton. Did you wonder why Trump has gone into New Hampshire so many times it the last few weeks. The latest poll – and the largest one – shows Clinton now with only a 1 point lead, where just two weeks ago, she had an 8-point lead. Trends are important, and I don’t think Trump will let this momentum reverse either.
The same thing with Maine. A month ago Clinton had a 10-point lead. The latest poll now cuts that to just 3 points.
And you cannot count Trump out in Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes. Trump has cut Clinton’s lead to 5 points and that is still trending Trump.
In Michigan, with it’s 16 electoral votes it’s all over the papers up there that Clinton’s lead has been cut to less than 5 points because Muslim immigration is becoming hot issue, after Trump’s visit there.
In Wisconsin, the last two polls have brought Trump within 3-5 points, plus, their Governor, Scott Walker is a Republican as is the Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan. Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes are definitely in play here.
But let’s go back to the PaddyPower map and add in the new data. So we change Colorado and Nevada to Trump. I’m giving New Hampshire and Maine to Trump. And that gives him an easy victory 281 over 257 for Clinton, and that’s without counting Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota. With all of those, that would be a real electoral landslide of 337 Trump to 201 Clinton.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
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SR 1197 – Donald Trump Has a Wide Open Path to Victory over Crooked Hillary Now!
08:37 – Sept. 17, 2016
Good evening, I’m still reporting on Trump.
For the first time, I can see the math behind a Trump win in the Electoral College.
I’ve been watching a British betting site – PaddyPower.com. As Trump’s odds improved, I realized that this bookie site was also giving odds on whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump would win November’s election on a state-by-state basis.
The results are quite interesting compared to the opinion poll averages in the U.S.
The bottom line is that this race is a lot closer than the U.S. pollsters are trying to make us believe it is.
Here is the Real Clear Politics average of all U.S. polls as of today. The red states are solid Republican.
The pink states are Republican leaning states with leads of between 5 and 10 points.
The dark blue states are solid Democrat states.
The light blue are states leaning Democrat with leads of between 5 and 10 points.
The dark gray states are considered tossups.
My opinion is that Real Clear Politics tends to skew its results towards the Democrats.
In any case, as of today, Real Clear Politics gives Clinton 200 electoral votes and Trump 164 with 174 a tossup. Only a few weeks ago, Trump was behind by over 100 electoral votes on this map.
But here is the map according to PaddyPower – the British bookie site. Trump only is behind by a thin margin of 20 electoral votes. Here’s the difference.
They gave the rest of the deep south to Trump – that is Florida, Georgia and North Carolina. They gave Virginia and Pennsylvania to Clinton and New Hampshire to Clinton. They gave Ohio and Iowa to Trump, but the northern Midwest – Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan to Clinton.
Heading west, they gave Colorado and Nevada to Clinton but Arizona to Trump and that gave them 279 for Clinton and 259 for Trump. Keep in mind, it takes 270 votes to win. So, a swing of only 11 electoral votes swings this election.
And if you take into account the latest trending in the polls from the last few days you can easily see more than an 11-vote swing. So here is the Still Report map.
The 4 states that moved significantly in the last few days were Colorado, where now Trump leads. Colorado alone has 9 electoral votes. The second state was Nevada, where, again Trump just took the lead. That’s 15 electoral college votes, and enough for Trump to win it. I don’t see either of these trends reversing in Clinton’s direction again. She’s done.
Besides that, in New Hampshire, Trump has been continually catching Clinton. Did you wonder why Trump has gone into New Hampshire so many times it the last few weeks. The latest poll – and the largest one – shows Clinton now with only a 1 point lead, where just two weeks ago, she had an 8-point lead. Trends are important, and I don’t think Trump will let this momentum reverse either.
The same thing with Maine. A month ago Clinton had a 10-point lead. The latest poll now cuts that to just 3 points.
And you cannot count Trump out in Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral votes. Trump has cut Clinton’s lead to 5 points and that is still trending Trump.
In Michigan, with it’s 16 electoral votes it’s all over the papers up there that Clinton’s lead has been cut to less than 5 points because Muslim immigration is becoming hot issue, after Trump’s visit there.
In Wisconsin, the last two polls have brought Trump within 3-5 points, plus, their Governor, Scott Walker is a Republican as is the Speaker of the House, Paul Ryan. Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes are definitely in play here.
But let’s go back to the PaddyPower map and add in the new data. So we change Colorado and Nevada to Trump. I’m giving New Hampshire and Maine to Trump. And that gives him an easy victory 281 over 257 for Clinton, and that’s without counting Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota. With all of those, that would be a real electoral landslide of 337 Trump to 201 Clinton.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
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Every once in a while we get to have a victory, and yesterday was such a day. Within a few hours of putting up SR 947 – YouTube Begins Economic Blacklisting, suddenly, they reversed themselves and the dreaded golden dollar signs disappeared and were replaced with the nice green ones.
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They sincerely believe that nationalism is the cause of wars and therefore if they can only destroy the historic diversity of the nation state – then, and only then – can they create a world where human kind can live in a world of peace and plenty.
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Good morning, I’m still reporting on Artificial Intelligence System Predicts Trump Win
An AI system (artificial intelligence) developed in Mumbai, India, which has correctly predicted the last 3 US presidential elections, says that Donald Trump will become the next President.
Called MogIA, the system was developed in 2004 by Sanjiv Rai, the founder of the Indian start-up Genic.ai.
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I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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Hillary Clinton’s campaign manager, Robby Mook said in an a recent email that he’s afraid Donald Trump will become the next president and destroy a Democrat infrastructure that it’s taken years to build.
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I’m worried, because last-minute ads could cost us this election.”
“They’ve got more donors than we do, more contributions than we have, and if they keep up this pace on TV, they’ll be able to get their message out to more people than we can.”
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Good morning, I’m still reporting on: Cong. Steve Scalise Shot, 1668
Synopsis: The third-most-powerful Republican in the U.S. House of Representatives, Steve Scalise from Lousiana, was shot at 7:09 this morning at a Congressional baseball practice in Alexandria, Virginia near the western bank of the Potomac river about 6 miles from the U.S. Capitol.
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Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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It's up. View it for 99 cents at: https://youtu.be/nPEoLZbpQL4
YouTube has finally approved “Impeach Clinton: Is It Justified?”
Here is the URL and I will post it in the description box directly below this video window:
https://youtu.be/nPEoLZbpQL4
Briefly, here is the story behind why this, my second documentary, was almost lost entirely.
I was a true believer in the threat posed by the Clintons. I grew up in Northern Virginia and so when Vincent Foster turned up dead in Fort Marcy Park on the south bank of the Potomac River, I went after the story.
It was clear this was an assassination, carefully set up to look like a suicide. For example, he was left handed, but the so-called suicide gun was found in his right hand.
Foster was a lawyer and longtime friend of the Clintons who literally knew where all the bodies were buried. He had recently traveled back and forth to Switzerland many times in the year before his death.
Strange deaths have haunted the Clintons since their tenure in the Arkansas governor’s mansion. That, combined with the fact that they have no regard for the truth made them very dangerous at the wheels of power.
The Republican National Committee said they would support my documentary on the Clintons once it was completed, but could not fund it.
So, off I went raising money plus putting everything I had personally into the project.
Upon completion, to my great surprise the RNC refused to distribute the film as promised. When I asked why, they responded that Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich had theorized that if Clinton were convicted after his impeachment by the House, then who would be the next president? Al Gore.
He would have served out Mr. Clinton’s 2 remaining years, then still stand for re-election for an additional 8 years.
It was logical, but the RNC refused to compensate me and my investors for our trouble. All this took time and in the meantime, wall-to-wall media coverage of Clinton’s impending impeachment made the public weary of the subject. By the time I tried to release the film privately, very few were sold.
Incidentally, I asked Newt about 4 years ago at McLean Family restaurant in McLean, VA if this story was true, but he denied it. I didn’t believe him.
I never recovered financially from the loss of this project.
So here’s the deal; the minimum YouTube lets me charge is 99 cents. I’d gladly charge less if I could, but I can’t.
But here is what I’ll do; if you purchase the film, you will have access to it FOREVER. However, if you don’t think it was a worthwhile American history lesson that you would like to have access to forever for your children and grandchildren, I will happily refund your money. Yup, a money back guarantee.
I think this is important because only a tiny fraction of America understands the vital role impeachment plays in the maintenance of American freedom and without this film, public awareness isn’t going to get any better as time rolls on.
I’m still reporting on freedom. Good day.
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Good evening, I’m still reporting on Trump.
SR 1143 – Brexit Hero Nigel Farage at Donald Trump Rally in Jackson, MS, 8-24. Huge Crowds
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I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
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I want to preface this with an admission – I once upon a time smoked pot. However, once I became a father, that stopped cold, almost exactly 30 years ago.
However, I do have insight into this area. In general, I’m convinced that pot is far less damaging to society than alcohol and I’m sure eventually a preponderance of medical and sociological studies will prove this.
For years I have supported legalizing pot, for a number of reasons. It is far less damaging physically than either cigarette smoking or alcohol abuse.
Another factor is that over the past two generations, we’ve ruined the lives of millions of young Americans with arrest records.
But there is another factor; we have been feeding the beast south of the border. Violent drug cartels have made so much money smuggling pot through Mexico that Mexico is a borderline failed state – when the rule of law is no longer effective.
Narcos have had sufficient cash to bribe government officials, police, and possibly even military leaders to ensure they are above the law.
We can’t take all the money out of the drug trade, but we can diminish their power significantly. It’s just like your personal finances; once you get used to living your life at a certain salary, if you suddenly take even a 10% cut, it can radically change your life.
What if your income suddenly fell to only 1/3 of last year’s? That would really hurt.
Well, the results are coming in now. Prices for wholesale pot sold out of the Mexican state of Sinaloa have now fallen from $100 per kilo to $30 per kilo, according to a Dec. 30 report in the LA Times.
At that price, one of the smaller farmers in the report says this will be his last year of growing pot. Corn is now more profitable.
According to Juan Guerra, Sinaloa’s Agriculture Secretary:
“People don't want to abandon their illicit crops, but more and more they are realizing that it is no longer good business.”
Here’s why. This is the state-by-state map of marijuana laws in the U.S. It’s still totally illegal in nearly half of the states, however look at the results.
Since 2010, the number of Mexican acres under marijuana cultivation has declined by over 25% - from 44,000 acres down to 32,000 acres this year, according to the Mexican Attorney General's office.
In that same period, the number arrests by federal agents involving foreign-grown marijuana dropped by nearly 50%.
I couldn’t find an estimate for reductions in cartel profits, but you can be sure it has plummeted. And, as the little growers give up, they will continue to plummet for the foreseeable future.
This is good news, because if there is one thing that should guide the US policy to Mexico it should be to do whatever it takes to return Mexico to a real republic run for the benefit of the governed.
Of course, we seem to have that problem in the United States of late as well.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
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