Famed statistician, Nate Silver, has for the first time predicted that Donald Trump will become the next President of the United States. Silver, in his “Now-cast” election model says that if ballots were cast today, Trump has a 57.5% chance of winning. Clinton has only a 42.5% chance. Silver originally gained fame predicting probable performance levels of baseball players. Subsequently he started predicting the outcomes of political contests on his website named simply 538 – the number of electors in the electoral college. In 2008, Silver predicted the winner of the presidential vote in 49 of 50 states, and the winners of every US Senate race. In 2012, Silver got all states correct. In February 2016, Silver predicted that Donald Trump had a 46% chance of winning Iowa and Ted Cruz had only a 39% chance. That’s probably the way an honest vote would have turned out. Silver’s model shows Trump taking the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. That would give Trump 285 electoral votes – 15 more than the 270 needed. Until recently, Silver’s model gave Clinton an 80% chance of winning. Incidentally, my wife Beth says that she fells sure that Trump will take Michigan as well. I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Famed statistician, Nate Silver, has for the first time predicted that Donald Trump will become the next President of the United States. Silver, in his “Now-cast” election model says that if ballots were cast today, Trump has a 57.5% chance of winning. Clinton has only a 42.5% chance. Silver originally gained fame predicting probable performance levels of baseball players. Subsequently he started predicting the outcomes of political contests on his website named simply 538 – the number of electors in the electoral college. In 2008, Silver predicted the winner of the presidential vote in 49 of 50 states, and the winners of every US Senate race. In 2012, Silver got all states correct. In February 2016, Silver predicted that Donald Trump had a 46% chance of winning Iowa and Ted Cruz had only a 39% chance. That’s probably the way an honest vote would have turned out. Silver’s model shows Trump taking the swing states of Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. That would give Trump 285 electoral votes – 15 more than the 270 needed. Until recently, Silver’s model gave Clinton an 80% chance of winning. Incidentally, my wife Beth says that she fells sure that Trump will take Michigan as well. I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
The New York Times – you know – that paper I couldn’t stand until last Sunday’s editorial which basically revealed the truth about the Muslim invasion of Germany – anyway – Today’s New York Times revealed a Clintonesque piece of campaign finance cheating that Senator Ted Cruz has been caught doing.
It the weeks before the May 2012 Republican primary, Mr. Cruz received loans - which he did not disclose as required - of up to a million dollars from guess who?
Goldman Sachs and Citibank – two of the biggest banks in the universe.
Of course, Mrs. Heidi Cruz, the candidate’s wife – is a current employee with Goldman. In fact, she is at the next to highest rank among Goldman executives, a Managing Director. Of what region? Oh, the southwest region of the U.S. for accounts exceeding $40. This happens to be the region that includes all of Mexico’s border with the United States.
Oh, and guess what, Heidi Cruz is on paid leave from Goldman. And one more thing, she even gets to keep her gold-plated Goldman health care package, allowing Ted Cruz the freedom to proclaim on the campaign trail how he hasn’t accepted the gold-plated health care system provided to Senators.
There is a lot more to Mrs. Cruz’s background, including ties to radical Jihad, which I laid out in SR 416 – The Truth About Ted Cruz – a lot more.
Meanwhile back to my new best buddies, the New York Times:
“As Ted Cruz tells it, the story of how he financed his upstart campaign for the United States Senate four years ago is an endearing example of loyalty and shared sacrifice between a married couple.”
“Sweetheart, I’d like us to liquidate our entire net worth, liquid net worth, and put it into the campaign,” he says he told his wife, Heidi, who readily agreed.”
“But the couple’s decision to pump more than $1 million into Mr. Cruz’s successful Tea Party-darling Senate bid in Texas was made easier by a large loan from Goldman Sachs, where Mrs. Cruz works. That loan was not disclosed in campaign finance reports.”
It allowed Cruz to keep spending on TV ads when he was still considered a long shot against Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst in the race.
A spokesperson for the Cruz campaign, Catherine Frazier, the failure to report the Goldman Sachs loan was “inadvertent” – a silly little mistake – adding that the campaign was working on filing an amended report – nearly 4 years after the fact.
“Oh Honey, we forgot about that million dollar loan. Oh Darn!”
This is political campaign talk for “oops, we got caught. So let’s try to fix it without being indicted and get on with the campaign.”
According to the Times, Kenneth A. Gross, a former election commission lawyer who specializes in campaign finance law, says that disclosing such large loans from big banks just before the voting in the Texas Senate Republican primary:
“… might have conveyed the wrong impression for his candidacy.”
In other words he would have been branded as the big-bank dupe that he probably really is.
Mr. Gross said that the loans would not have been improper had they been properly disclosed, but they weren’t.
Back to Mrs. Cruz’s connections. From her college days in Southern California, she is also very well connected to some of the most radical Islamic professors in the United States.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.
Visit our website now: http://www.billstill.com - considered by informed insiders’ as THE ultimate resource for fixing the National Debt problem and surviving Economic or Financial Collapse/Crash and attaining the unvarnished truth about Washington and today’s United States Political Climate.
Good morning, I’m still reporting on FBI Designed the Crooked Clinton Email Investigation to Fail
FBI Designed the Crooked Clinton Email Investigation to Fail
According to Judge Andrew Napolitano this is a saddest chapter in the history of the FBI because it has allowed itself to be used by President Obama and Crooked Hillary Clinton to hide the Clinton email scandal in an attempt to help elect Hillary Clinton to the presidency.
They will stop at nothing to win the election for Crooked Hillary, including in-your-face election fraud by rigged voting machines in key states.
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As Donald Trump has boldly said over and over again. This system is rigged. But the good news is, we, the American people can stand up and unrig it in just 11 days on Tuesday, Nov. 9.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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Associate Justice Antonin Scalia was found dead at age 79 at a West Texas luxury resort. He apparently died in his sleep after a day of dove hunting.
Scalia arrived at the ranch on Friday and attended a private party of about 40 people. The next morning when he did not appear for breakfast a resort employee found him dead in his room.
Scalia was seen as one of the most conservative justices on the U.S. Supreme Court, but during this political season no fight over his replacement is predicted.
According to U.S. District Judge Fred Biery who was among those notified of Scalia’s death:
“…my educated guess is nothing will happen before the next president is elected."
Scalia was nominated to the U.S. Supreme Court in 1986 by President Ronald Reagan.
God rest your soul, Judge Scalia, and thank you for your service to this country.
I’m Still reporting from Washington. Good day.
The Trump organization believes that it has a clear path to a 1st ballot victory at the July 18-21 Republican Convention in Cleveland.
According to a delegate chart on the Trump Twitter feed, Trump has 680 delegates – 55% of those needed to nominate on the first ballot – 7 more than estimates by the Associated Press. According to AP, Cruz trails with 411 delegates.
Tomorrow, the Virgin Islands will caucus. 9 delegates are at stake and according to Trump’s estimates they will win none of those. They do expect to take all 58 delegates in Arizona’s winner-take-all primary on Tuesday and 12 of Utah’s 40 delegates, bringing Trump’s total by Wednesday morning to 750 with Cruz falling ever further behind.
Looking down the road, Trump expects to take 66 of New York’s 95 delegates – and maybe more, 15 of Connecticut’s 28, all of Maryland’s 38 delegates, all of Pennsylvania’s 71 delegates, and 10 of Rhode Island’s. So by the end of April, Trump expects to add at least 200 delegates, bringing his total to 950 of the 1237 needed.
In May, Trump expects to win all of West Virginia’s 34 delegates and an additional 23 in proportional contests in Oregon and Washington, bringing his total to 1007.
In June, Trump expects victories also in the two biggest winner-take-all states, New Jersey, 51, and California, 172, and 8 more from New Mexico’s proportional primary – a total of 231 more – bringing him to 1238, one more than necessary to win on the first ballot, and that’s not counting any of the 168 unpledged delegates.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Undocumented Illegal aliens can now join the U.S. military and after a single day in a war zone be granted full rights as a U.S. citizen thanks to a vote in Congress last week.
All the Democrat members of the U.S. House of Representatives had to vote for it – PLUS 30 Republicans as well to get it passed through Congress.
In the end every single Republican vote was essential because the measure passed by a one vote margin – 210 to 211.
The program Military Accessions Vital to the National Interest – or MAVNI, originally was created to help the Pentagon recruit foreigners legally in the county for jobs requiring language or cultural skills. The program was then expanded to allow medical professional in.
According to Rep. Paul Gosar – a Republican from Arizona:
“The MAVNI program allows citizenship to be granted to any enlistee, who serves one day of wartime service,” he said. “MAVNI was never intended to be utilized for the benefit of illegal aliens.”
It is suspicious to me that at a time that the Pentagon is being forced to cut American military personnel due to budget cuts, that they are being forced to take in totally undocumented illegal aliens into the services.
How are the DOD clearing agencies going to handle security clearances when an undocumented person has no history to investigate? Are they going to give them a SECRET clearance and just hope for the best? That would be totally insane!
Here is the list of 30 Republican House members that voted to make this the law of the land:
Amodei; Chaffetz; Coffman; Costello (PA); Curbelo (FL); Davis (Rodney); Denham; Dent; Diaz-Balart; Dold; Donovan; Hardy; King (NY); Kinzinger (IL); LoBiondo; MacArthur; McSally; Meehan; Newhouse; Pearce; Poe (TX); Reichert; Los-Lehtinen; Royce; Simpson; Smith (NJ); Stefanik; Upton; Valadao; and Zinke.
However, equally guilty are the six Republicans who chose not to vote: Brat; Fincher; Forbes; Hanna; Heck (NV); and Herrera Beutler,
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Visit our website now: http://www.billstill.com - considered by informed insiders’ as THE ultimate resource for fixing the National Debt problem and surviving Economic or Financial Collapse/Crash and attaining the unvarnished truth about Washington and today’s United States Political Climate.
Good evening, I’m still reporting on Trump.
SR 1227 – UPI Poll - Trump Now Leads in Electoral College!
According to the new UPI/CVoter State Tracking Poll, for the first time, Donald Trump now leads in enough states to win the Electoral College.
According to the UPI story on the new poll:
“Trump would amass 292 votes and Hillary Clinton would get 246 with 270 needed to secure the oval office.”
What’s the change from the last time this poll was issued. Well, if the battleground states are not counted, Trump and Clinton would be dead even at 191 Electoral College votes each.
But Trump has surged ahead in 3 key swing states, Florida, Pennsylvania, and Virginia.
So here is what the UPI Electoral College map looks like. The light blue and the light pink means that the margin is less than 5%, however, UPI is the first poll to show Virginia moving into the Trump camp. In fact, they say Trump leads now by 3.4%!
However, the Real Clear Politics average of polls just posted new numbers and almost without exception all the news is bad for Clinton.
Even Massachusetts is moving. It’s status has now been changed from Safe for Clinton, to Likely Clinton.
Minnesota has been changed from Leaning Clinton to a Toss Up.
Maine’s two statewide electors have been moved from Leans Clinton to a Toss UP.
Maine’s 2nd District has been changed from a Toss-Up to Leans Trump.
It’s all about momentum, and it’s bad news for Clinton. Regardless what her bought MSM polls say, the Sleeping Giant of the American people is awakening and turning towards the truth.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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Good morning, I’m still reporting on Trump.
Donald Trump continues his surge in today’s USC Daybreak national poll.
Trump now leads Clinton by 45.0% to 43.0% - an increase in the spread of 1.6% in the last 24 hours. Trump had another good day yesterday and today promises more of the same as Hillary Clinton seems to have disappeared.
She hasn’t had an event since last Wednesday. She has one scheduled for today from 2 to 4 pm with Cher in Provincetown, Mass. Let’s see if she makes them.
There are rumors that she is “resting” after some sort of surgery, either to try to remedy her recent seizures – and/or to implant a tiny transceiver that will allow her team to prompt her during the upcoming debates.
More on this in an upcoming report.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.