Still Report #469 - Trump's #1 Key Factor to Success
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Despite a Sunday CNN poll which showed Donald Trump increasing his lead in Iowa, yesterday, the Washington Post came out with a wildly contradictory poll that showed Ted Cruz moving ahead of Trump in Iowa polling. The Post admitted that it’s poll was an outlier. In other words, most other polls still show Trump in the lead. But the Post poll showed Trump at only 15% - that’s between 7 and 15 percentage points lower than 6 other Iowa polls. [insert graph] The designers of the Post’s poll – two Iowa State political science professors, David Anderson, and David Peterson – explained why they got a different result. Trump’s run in the polls has defied all known historic patterns so far. Their question was: why? Their theory was that Trump’s support comes mostly from middle-class voters who don’t buy into typical political speak. These voters see professional politicians as generally untrustworthy – a pack of professional liars who will do anything – say anything to get elected, and then lie some more about what they lied about previously to get elected. It’s no surprise that these people don’t generally come out to vote. They feel they don’t have a horse in the race – someone they can trust. But they can come out if motivated by a candidate who they feel represents their values for the first time -- a candidate they can trust. To them, that spells Trump to a “T”. To see if this was a correct assumption, Anderson and Peterson asked about the voting patterns of the 486 Republican voters they sampled. In their sample, 78% had voted in a presidential primary in the last 10 years. In other polls only 48% had voted in a primary since 2006. [insert graph 2] Only 13% those who had voted in at least one primary supported Trump, compared with 21% who had not voted in the last 10 years. [insert 3} Bottom line – Trump’s supporters don’t vote as often – again, no surprise there. When asked how likely it would be for these voters to attend the upcoming caucus in Iowa, over twice as many who had voted before said they would definitely be attending, compared to those who had not voted in a primary in the last 10 years. So, it’s easier to say you will vote for Trump, then to actually go out and do it on election day. Trump’s people are angry, but the one key factor to his success cannot be determined by any poll. It can only be measured after the first few votes have been cast. Are they angry enough to come out? In 2012, voter turnout for the primaries set record lows – less that 16% of eligible voters actually turned out. That leaves plenty of room for angry, infrequent voters to dominate the political landscape starting in just two months – if Trump can get them off their couches on election day. And there is just no way to accurately predict that behavior until the actual voting begins, Monday, Feb. 1 in Iowa, followed on Tuesday, Feb. 9 in New Hampshire, than 11 days later in South Carolina. I’m Still reporting from Washington. Good day.
According to a new Gravis Marketing poll taken for the One America News Network – Donald Trump is now favored by 40.1% of the voting public.
It’s the first time that any candidate has exceeded the 30% mark in the huge poll.
According to Robert Herring, Sr. CEO of One America News Network:
“Claims by media that Trump peaked in July have proven to be false.”
The poll was taken on August 21-22. It surveyed over 3,500 voters across the nation with a margin of error of only 2%.
Dr. Ben Carson came in second with 13%.
Jeb Bush got 10%, and Ted Cruz 7%.
Trump jumped up an astonishing 9.3% in a single month. Dr. Ben Carson jumped up 6.9% to take second place from Jeb Bush.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
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George Soros is Helping Fund Facebook’s Fact Checker
Good afternoon, I’m still reporting on Fake News.
It’s the oldest trick in the liar’s handbook – blame your opponent of your lies to nullify the effects.
The left-wing fake news machine is now creating a fake news fact checker headed up by which media organization – oh the Washington Post.
According to the British paper, the Daily Mail, the effort is being financed by George Soros’s Open Society Foundation – yes, the one behind much of aiding and abetting the immigration invasion into Europe. The one that decries nationalism with real borders.
Soros has given the Clinton Foundation $25 million, part of which will be going towards the new effort to shut the swelling populist worldwide movement out of much of the world’s biggest social media.
Ebay founder Pierre Omidyar, Google, and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation are also funding the project.
The new fake news find-and-destroy push was announced by Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg on Thursday.
According to the Daily Mail, Facebook will now flag any stories which have been “disputed by a 3rd party” even before users share them on FB, then throttle them back and even prohibit their promotion if deemed to be fakes.
However, the 3rd party resources announced as the leads in checking for fakes have well-known political biases themselves; ABC News, Politico, Snopes and the Washington Post.
Yesterday, WixiLeaks offered on Twitter to fact check any material presented by the President Obama purporting to show any Russian involvement interfering with the U.S. election.
“Obama should submit any Putin documents to WikiLeaks to be authenticated to our standards if he wants them to be seen as credible.”
It is highly unlikely that the Clinton/Zuckerberg crew will bother to take WikiLeaks up on the offer, despite the fact that WikiLeaks has never been proven – or even accused of – creating fake news.
I have been critical of fake news throughout 2016 because I’ve been faked out by them at least half-a-dozen times this year. My solution has been to make a correction as soon as I discover the error and admit I made a mistake. That seems to be working for me.
However, this new program is obviously the creation of THE most leftist elements on the planet and is admittedly designed to significantly reduce access to the leftist-leaning social media titans for their political benefit. That’s not a good prescription for anything but an iron-clad propaganda machine going forward.
I’m Still reporting from Washington and Merry Christmas.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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A day after Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad, said that he hopes Ted Cruz does not win the Iowa Caucuses 10 days from now, former Senator Bob Dole said this morning that Ted Cruz would be worse for the Republican Party than Donald Trump.
The 92-year-old Dole told the New York Times that Cruz could not govern effectively if he won because he has made so many enemies in Washington.
"I don't know how he's going to deal with Congress. Nobody likes him."
“[Trump, could] probably work with Congress, because he's - you know, - he's got the right personality and he's kind of a deal-maker.”
But Dole thinks Cruz would have little chances of victory in the general election.
"If he's the nominee, we're going to have wholesale losses in Congress and state offices and governors and legislatures.”
Dole sees Hillary Clinton as a beatable opponent:
"I think she'd be a pretty easy target in the general, if we nominate the right person. If (Cruz) does it, I think she'll win in a waltz."
I’m still reporting from Daytona Beach. That’s why you haven’t seen many reports today. Same for tomorrow. Good day.
A day after Iowa Gov. Terry Branstad, said that he hopes Ted Cruz does not win the Iowa Caucuses 10 days from now, former Senator Bob Dole said this morning that Ted Cruz would be worse for the Republican Party than Donald Trump.
The 92-year-old Dole told the New York Times that Cruz could not govern effectively if he won because he has made so many enemies in Washington.
"I don't know how he's going to deal with Congress. Nobody likes him."
“[Trump, could] probably work with Congress, because he's - you know, - he's got the right personality and he's kind of a deal-maker.”
But Dole thinks Cruz would have little chances of victory in the general election.
"If he's the nominee, we're going to have wholesale losses in Congress and state offices and governors and legislatures.”
Dole sees Hillary Clinton as a beatable opponent:
"I think she'd be a pretty easy target in the general, if we nominate the right person. If (Cruz) does it, I think she'll win in a waltz."
I’m still reporting from Daytona Beach. That’s why you haven’t seen many reports today. Same for tomorrow. Good day.
President Trump signed an executive order this morning ordering that the U.S. withdraw from the Trans-Pacific Partnership – or TPP.
[Insert]
The TPP was seen as one of the most damaging initiatives in American history – one that would have crippled U.S. economic sovereignty and brought unprecedented overrides by transnational corporations of laws passed by the U.S. Congress.
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Good evening, I’m still reporting on President Trump signs executive order killing the TPP.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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According to a former White House archivist, 30 new Clinton emails found by Reuters were so classified that any diplomat would know that they were “born classified.”
First of all, a correction to last night’s statement that the Clinton emails were backed up to archival tape.
As several commenters have pointed out, this is not necessarily the case. It is quite possible that a small company like Platte River Networks could have used a server replication method to provide a disaster recovery backup.
But either way it’s just as bad for team Clinton. As Karl Denninger explained to me in a phone interview last night; that server is in someone’s possession and they know they could go to jail for a very long time if they destroyed its contents.
…
Now, in today’s news, J. William Leonard, the former director of the Information Security Oversight Office from 2002 to 2008 - a part of the White House’s National Archives and Records Administration – said that at least 30 emails from 2009 were:
“born classified”
The comment refutes Clinton’s repeated assertion that she never sent or received classified material.
The 30 emails were uncovered by Reuters – the world’s largest news agency. They are marked:
“foreign government information”
This means that it is information given to the Secretary of State in confidence by a foreign diplomat. By law, it must remain secret to secure the integrity of diplomatic relations.
According to Mr. Leonard:
“If a foreign minister just told the secretary of state something in confidence, by U.S. rules that is classified at the moment it's in … U.S. possession.”
Oh, what do you know, Hillary is hiding out in Martha’s Vineyard for the next 10 days.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Visit our website now: http://www.billstill.com - considered by informed insiders’ as THE ultimate resource for fixing the National Debt problem and surviving Economic or Financial Collapse/Crash and attaining the unvarnished truth about Washington and today’s United States Political Climate.
Good evening, I’m still reporting on
SR 1231 – Trump’s Polls Are Rising. Ignore the MSM
In the latest USC Daybreak poll, Trump has extended his lead to 4.7% - 46.9 Trump to 42.2 for Clinton.
Trump still leads in every age group, but the most exciting figure is his status with women. Trump is now within 6.4% with women - 41.2 Trump to 47.6 Clinton. This is probably the most important figure to watch going forward.
It’s the same basic results in the UPI/CVoter poll, where Trump is slowly extending his lead. Trump now leads Clinton by 2 percentage points – 49.3 Trump, 47.3 Clinton.
Over the last 7 days, Trump has gained 3 percentage points and Clinton has lost more that 1%.
But here is probably the second-most important number today. Here are the results from the last two days of the UPI poll. Notice that Clinton rose a tenth of a percentage point, but Trump’s rise was more than twice as much – nearly a quarter of a percentage point.
But look at Others. These are the 3rd party candidates. Remember a few weeks ago, when the combination of Johnson and Stein getting between them 5 to 10% of the vote? We predicted that that vote would start shedding away and that Trump would get most of it. That’s what’s going on.
Trump and Clinton rose a total of .34% in the past day, and that’s exactly the amount that Others lost - .34%. Exactly as we predicted, Trump is getting exactly 70% of that vote.
Of course only 2/3rds of UPI’s 1804 vote sample – or 1236 voters are termed “likely voters”. So 1/3 are – what? – unlikely voters? Hidden in this number is some percentage of what we’ve been calling the Monster Vote, out there lurking unseen – but estimated at around 10% - most of whom will go the polls for the first time in years to pull the lever for Trump and for the preservation of our nation.
Now for comparison, here is the table of the latest MSM polls. Notice the only one showing Trump ahead is the USC poll – Trump up by 5 points. The UPI poll isn’t even listed! Why? UPI is the second-biggest news agency in the U.S.
And when we average all these mostly-MSM polls together, here is the graph we get – showing Clinton leading Trump by 2-and-a-half points.
You know, you MSM guys, you are losing credibility by the ton. You pulled the same tricks on Trump throughout the primary season. You’d say Trump was behind by 10 points, then shortly before election day, you’d all dial your fake polls back to a more realistic number so you wouldn’t be too embarrassed.
You are not fooling us, and at some point – some magical, mystical turning point – like when 50% of the nation understands what the acronym MSM means – your numbers are going to start to tank. And guess what? You won’t be able to react quickly enough to rebuild your creds before we completely swallow you whole.
So some day, you’re going to see me and Beth and Molly – and a hundred others just like us - on the real tube with our own news desks and our own fat contracts, because we are doing our best to do one thing in the tradition of real reporters – tell the truth – not trying to manipulate the public to suit your globalist agenda.
And guess what? You can’t kill us all!
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good Day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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New Jersey governor Chris Christie has just endorsed Donald Trump.
The endorsement is seen as a boost for Trump heading into the SEC primaries next Tuesday.
Christie said Marco Rubio’s debate performance last night was desperate and indicative of a losing campaign. Mr. Christie said Trump:
“…will do exactly what needs to be done to make America a leader around the world again.”
Trump praised Christie:
“He’s been my friend for many years, he’s been a spectacular governor.”
At the press conference in Fort Worth, Texas, announcing the Christie endorsement, Trump said that backstage before the debate:
“I saw Rubio with a pile of makeup.
“I said Marco, easy with the makeup, you don’t need that much.”
I’m Still reporting from Washington. Good day.
TINY URL Link: http://tinyurl.com/nltzusk
In the wake of the 2012 presidential election, do you remember hearing that some precincts voted 99% for President Obama? Other precincts had higher vote counts then there were registered voters in that precinct? Also there is other evidence that some brands of voting machines are completely insecure?
Not having infinite time to read up on everything, I have tended to dismiss allegations of voter fraud in the past because if there was anything to it, surely the Republican National Committee would have an army of attorneys all over it.
Well, as it turns out, I was wrong. The RNC has actually been heavily restricted from trying to prevent voter fraud since 1981 as a result of an obscure Federal Court decision in a New Jersey governor’s race.
And when the RNC appealed the 1981 decision in the run-up to President Obama’s 2012 re-election, a federal judge who Obama had appointed to the federal appeals court just months before, Judge Joseph A Greenway II, not only denied the RNC appeal, but made the situation even more restrictive.
The result is that if the Republicans challenge anything that has to do with voter fraud, they will be slammed back into federal court by the Democrats and made to look like they are practicing racial discrimination.
I won’t go into all the details case, but anyone can go on the Judicial View website and find this case for more info. I will provide this Tiny URL link in the Description box below.
http://tinyurl.com/nltzusk
Back in 1981, during the New Jersey gubernatorial election, New Jersey Republicans went too far in attempting to be sure only registered voters in minority precincts got to vote.
They stationed off-duty police at polling places with armbands that read “National Ballot Security Task Force”. This had the effect of scaring off people, for example, who might have outstanding arrest warrants.
Of course this is – in essence - no different than what happened outside polling places in Philadelphia during the 2008 presidential race, when Black Panthers with weapons were stationed outside polling stations -- but that was mysteriously never challenged in court. Now, we know why.
Back in 1981, the Democratic National Committee took the Republicans to court over the matter and Republicans, wanting to minimize the exposure of the appearance of a discriminatory practice, agreed to a “Consent Decree”.
This Decree made it very difficult – and expensive – for Republicans to challenge voter fraud by the Democrats from then on – and since the case was heard in federal court, the resulting restrictions have applied nationwide ever since.
In Dec. 2010, in the face of significant evidence of voter fraud on the part of the Democrats, the RNC asked Judge Greenway, to vacate the 1981 consent decree so these allegations could be effectively pursued.
15 months later, when Judge Greenway released his opinion, he not only denied the appeal, but even appeared to broaden the scope significantly in his opinion summary:
“The ‘Consent Decree’, which is national in scope, [limits] the RNC’s ability to engage or assist in voter fraud prevention unless the RNC obtains the court’s approval in advance.”
But in order to seek the court’s approval, the RNC had to give the DNC 10 days notice – hardly sufficient for challenges in the days before an election.
Even then, bringing these lawsuits by the RNC is typically fruitless, and very expensive.
The DNC is heavily favored in this Consent Decree. It does not need expensive litigation to harass the RNC; it only needs to allege a violation of the 1981 Decree by the RNC which then must prove to the court’s satisfaction its innocence.
The RNC has charged that the breadth of this order and the expense of defending its actions has even prevented them from pursuing normal poll watching activities – something that Judge Greenway has dismissed as irrelevant.
However, Judge Greenway ruled that the Republican’s limitations on challenging ballot security or voter fraud issues will have an end date – maybe.
“The Consent Decree expires on December 1, 2017 …. If, before that date, the DNC proves by a preponderance of the evidence that the RNC violated the Decree, the Decree will extend for eight years from the date of the violation.”
And that is probably why the Republicans have been very reluctant to go after the numerous allegations of voter fraud on the part of the Democrats over the last 34 years.
I’m Still reporting from Washington. Good Day.
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The Integration Minister of Sweden’s ruling liberal party has had to admit in a Swedish newspaper that she was ill-informed during a BBC TV news interview about the Swedish rape epidemic caused by some of the world’s most liberal immigration policies.
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Good morning, I’m still reporting on Trump Was Right Again – Sweden Minister Admits Lying About Rape Stats, 1548
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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