SR 1317 – New Rising Poll – Donald Trump TAKES LEADS Over Crooked Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire
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SR 1317 – New Rising Poll – Donald Trump TAKES LEADS Over Crooked Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire!
A new Breitbart/Gravis poll shows Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire by 43 to 41%.
The poll was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, Nov. 1-2 with 1,001 voters. This is important; “1,001 voters” means these contain very few monster voters other than Democrat crossovers. My prediction is that you can therefore deduct 2 points from Clinton and add those 2 points to Trump.
So, before we calculate in the 3rd party shedding, we start out with Trump 45, Clinton 39.
In addition, this poll measured the third-party candidates with a huge 12% of support – Johnson 7, Stein 2 and someone else 3%. According to our theory, half of these will switch on voting day to one of the two major candidates – split 70/30 for Trump.
That adds a whopping 4.2% for Trump and an additional 1.8% for Clinton. The result – Trump 49.2, Clinton 40.8%.
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One more factor, the undecideds will also split 70/30 for Trump. The poll lists the undecided vote as: “Don’t Know/Unsure” 3%.
That means 2.1% will decide for Trump and .9% for Clinton.
That adds up to 51.3% Trump and 41.7% for Clinton – a 9.6% win for Trump in New Hampshire.
I think voter fraud will be much harder to do in New Hampshire, and these results will come in early. So, New Hampshire may be the key to giving us our best early snapshot as to whether this voting model we’ve developed is anywhere near reflective across the nation.
I’m still reporting from Washington. Good day.
Bill Still is a former newspaper editor and publisher. He has written for USA Today, The Saturday Evening Post, the Los Angeles Times Syndicate, OMNI magazine, and has also produced the syndicated radio program, Health News. He has written 22 books and two documentary videos and is the host of his wildly popular daily YouTube Channel the “Still Report”, the quintessential report on the economy and Washington.
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